郑伯红 田方舟

ZHENG Bohong, TIAN Fangzhou

通过整理欧洲收缩乡村地区的研究报告和政策报告，笔者梳理了欧洲乡村收缩研究在概念定义、驱动机制、测度分析、类型界定的原则和方法，并提炼了其政策干预和规划治理过程中的经验和策略，可为当前国土空间规划中乡村收缩的测度分析、治理研究和规划策略提供以下有益启示：（1）需明确中国与欧洲不同语境下“乡村收缩”与“农村空心化”概念的异同，辩证地学习借鉴其经验和做法；（2）乡村收缩的治理是一个长期和复杂的挑战过程，需要建立循证治理的原则；（3）需建立不同时空尺度下的收缩测度和分析方法，明确其收缩过程背后的机制与类型差异；（4）需构建多尺度、多层级的增长与收缩情景规划，探究乡村人口增长和收缩的演化规律，为面向增长和收缩情景的乡村规划提供因地制宜的精明策略和治理路径。

By sorting out the research reports and policy reports on the shrinkage of rural areas in Europe, this paper combs the principles and methods of the research on the shrinkage of rural areas in Europe in terms of concept definition, driving mechanism, measurement analysis and type definition, and refines the experience and strategies in the process of policy intervention and planning governance. On this basis, this paper puts forward beneficial enlightenment for the measurement analysis, governance research and planning strategy of rural shrinkage in the current land space planning: (1) clarifying the similarities and differences between the concepts of “rural shrinkage”and “rural hollowing” in different contexts of China and Europe, and then dialectically learning from their experience and practices; (2) the governance of rural shrinkage is a long-term and complex challenge process, which requires the establishment of evidencebased governance principles; (3) establishing shrinkage measures and analysis methods under different space-time scales, and clarify the mechanism and type differences behind the shrinkage process; (4) building a multi-scale and multi-level growth shrinkage scenario planning, exploring the evolution law of urban and rural population growth and shrinkage, and providing smart strategies and governance paths tailored to local conditions for rural planning facing growth and shrinking scenarios.

郑伯红，博士，中南大学建筑与艺术学院，教授，博士生导师。zhengbohong@csu.edu.cn

田方舟（通信作者），博士，湖南农业大学风景园林与艺术设计学院，讲师。228218577@qq.com

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